正常化偏误
正常化偏误是一种认知偏误，是指人们不相信或不担心、忽视其他人提出或观察到的可能的威胁和警告。[1]因此此时人们会低估了灾难发生的可能性、灾难的蔓延时间以及灾难带来的潜在的不利影响。 [2]正常化偏误导致许多人没有为自然灾害、市场崩盘和人为错误造成的灾难做好充分准备。据报道，大约70%的人在灾难期间表现出正常化偏误。[3]
参考文献
[编辑]- ^ Drabek, Thomas E. Human system responses to disaster : an inventory of sociological findings. New York: Springer Verlag. 1986: 72. ISBN 978-1-4612-4960-3. OCLC 852789578.
The initial response to a disaster warning is disbelief.
- ^ Omer, Haim; Alon, Nahman. The continuity principle: A unified approach to disaster and trauma. American Journal of Community Psychology. April 1994, 22 (2): 275–276. PMID 7977181. doi:10.1007/BF02506866 （英语）.
... normalcy bias consists in underestimating the probability of disaster, or the disruption involved in it ...
- ^ Inglis-Arkell, Esther. The frozen calm of normalcy bias. Gizmodo. May 2, 2013 [23 May 2017]. （原始内容存档于2021-05-15）. Cites:
| 认知与决策偏误 |
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| 统计与几率偏误 | |
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