2024年賓夕法尼亞州聯邦參議員選舉
 | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
  | |||||||||||||||||
| |||||||||||||||||
.jpg)
2024年宾夕法尼亚州联邦参议员选举于11月5日举行，旨在选举出代表宾夕法尼亚州的美国参议院议员。在此次选举中，现任民主党籍参议员小鲍勃·凯西败于共和党提名人戴维·麦考密克，未能赢得第四任期。[1]此次选举初选于2024年4月23日举行。[2]这场选举被视为民主党能否保住参议院多数党地位的关键之战。[3]
背景
[编辑]宾夕法尼亚州在联邦层面被认为是摇摆州，尤其是因为在2020年总统大选中乔·拜登仅以约1.2个百分点的优势赢得该州。民主党目前控制着宾夕法尼亚州的联邦参议员以及州长职位，同时在该州联邦众议院代表团以及宾夕法尼亚州众议院占据多数。共和党上次于宾夕法尼亚州赢得联邦参议员席位是在2016年。[4][5][6][7]
现任参议员小鲍勃·凯西于2006年的蓝色浪潮中顺利当选，当时他以大约17个百分点的优势击败了时任参议员里克·桑托勒姆。在2012年他以9个百分点的优势再次当选（当时他领先奥巴马近4个百分点），并在2018年的蓝色浪潮中以13个百分点的优势再次当选。[8][9][10]
这场竞选因该州党派倾向接近均衡而被视为竞争激烈的选举，然而大多数民调显示凯西略微领先，是获胜的热门人选。[11]
民主党初选
[编辑]候选人
[编辑]提名人
[编辑]取消资格
[编辑]各方背书
[编辑]小鲍勃·凯西
- 行政部门官员
- 联邦参议员
- 联邦众议员
- 克里斯·卡尼，賓夕凡尼亞州第十國會選區议员（2007年-2011年）[15]
- 克里斯·德鲁齐奥，賓夕凡尼亞州第十七國會選區议员（2003年至今）[16]
- 克丽茜·霍拉罕，賓夕凡尼亞州第六國會選區议员（2019年至今）[15]
- 康纳·兰姆，賓夕凡尼亞州第十七國會選區议员（2018年-2023年）[15]
- 州级官员
- 个人
- 政党
- 组织
- 美国以色列公共事务委员会（AIPAC）[22]
- CASA在行动[23]
- 宜居世界委员会[24]
- 以色列民主党多数派[25]
- 结束公民联合会[26]
- 女权多数政治行动委员会[27]
- 吉福兹[28]
- 哈佛大学民主党[29]
- 人权战线[30]
- 人道协会立法基金[31]
- 美国犹太民主党委员会[32]
- 政治事务联合行动委员会[33]
- 环境保护选民联盟[34]
- 全国维护社会保障和医疗保险委员会[35]
- 自然资源保护委员会[36]
- 美国下一代政治行动委员会[20]
- 和平行动[37]
- 宾夕法尼亚州教育协会[38]
- 美国之道组织[39]
- 向左摇摆[40]
- 工会
- 演员权益协会[41]
- 美国州、市、县和市政雇员联合会第13理事会[42]
- 空乘人员协会[43]
- 全国教育协会[44]
- 宾夕法尼亚州劳工联合会-产业工会联合会[45]
- 美国矿工联合会[46]
- 美国钢铁工人联合会[47]
- 报纸
筹款状况
[编辑]| 截至2024年4月15日竞选财务报告 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 候选人 | 筹款数 | 花销 | 手头资金 |
| 小鲍勃·凯西（D） | $23,790,263 | $12,391,802 | $11,886,480 |
| 来源：联邦选举委员会[49] | |||
选举结果
[编辑]| 党派 | 候选人 | 得票数 | 百分比 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 民主党 | 小鲍勃·凯西（现任） | 1,024,545 | 100.00% | |
| 合计 | 1,024,545 | 100.00% | ||
共和党初选
[编辑]候选人
[编辑]提名人
[编辑]中途退选
[编辑]- 布兰迪·托马塞蒂，前康尼斯托加镇财务主管兼秘书（以海选候选人身份参选）[52]
取消资格
[编辑]拒绝参选
[编辑]- 凯西·巴内特，政治评论员，2020年宾夕法尼亚州第四国会选区候选人，2022年联邦参议院候选人[54]
- 斯泰西·加里蒂，宾夕法尼亚州司库（2021年至今）[55] （参选连任）[56]
- 道格·马斯特里亚诺，州参议院第33选区参议员（2019年至今），2022 年宾夕法尼亚州州长候选人[57] （背书麦考密克）[58]
各方背书
[编辑]戴维·麦考密克
- 行政部门官员
- 乔治·W·布什，美国第43任总统（2001年-2009年）[59]
- 卡尔·罗夫，前白宫政策副幕僚长（2005年-2007年）[59]
- 唐纳德·特朗普，美国第45任总统（2017年-2021年）兼共和党总统候选人[60]
- 联邦官员
- 州内阁官员
- 罗伯特·格里森，前宾夕法尼亚州州务卿（1985年-1987年）[63]
- 联邦参议员
- 帕特·图米，宾夕法尼亚州联邦参议员（2011年-2023年）[64]
- 里克·桑托勒姆，宾夕法尼亚州联邦参议员（1995年-2007年）[65]
- 玛莎·布莱克本，田纳西州联邦参议员（2019年至今）[66]
- 史蒂夫·戴恩斯，蒙大拿州联邦参议员（2015年至今）[67]
- 米奇·麦康奈尔，美国肯塔基州联邦参议员（1985年至今）兼参议院少数党领袖（2007年-2015年，2021年至今）[68]
- 联邦众议员
- 布萊恩·菲茨派翠克，賓夕凡尼亞州第一國會選區议员（2017年至今）[63]
- 吉姆·乔丹，俄亥俄州第四國會選區议员（2007年至今）[69]
- 約翰·喬伊斯，賓夕凡尼亞州第十三國會選區（2019年至今）[63]
- 麦克·凯利 ，賓夕凡尼亞州第十六國會選區（2011年至今）[63]
- 丹·默瑟，賓夕凡尼亞州第九國會選區（2019年至今）[63]
- 斯科特·佩里，賓夕凡尼亞州第十國會選區（2013年至今）[63]
- 盖伊·瑞森绍尔，賓夕凡尼亞州第十四國會選區（2019年至今）[63]
- 罗伊德·斯马克，賓夕凡尼亞州第十一國會選區（2017年至今）[63]
- 格伦·汤普森，賓夕凡尼亞州第十五國會選區（2009年至今）[63]
- 州参议员
- 地方官员
- 政党官员
- 组织
- 政党
- 个人
筹款
[编辑]| 截至2024年4月15日竞选财务报告 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 候选人 | 筹款数 | 花销 | 手头现金 |
| 戴维·麦考密克（R） | $11,052,879 | $4,660,701 | $6,399,998 |
| 来源：联邦选举委员会[49] | |||
民调
[编辑]假定狀況下的民調
| 民调来源 | 调查 日期 |
样本 大小[a] |
误差 幅度 |
凯西·巴内特 | 道格·马斯特里亚诺 | 戴维·麦考密克 | 未决定 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D) | 2023年3月9日至10日 | 616 (LV) | – | 11% | 39% | 21% | 29% |
| – | – | 42% | 28% | 29% |
选举结果
[编辑]| 党派 | 候选人 | 得票数 | 百分比 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 共和党 | 戴维·麦考密克 | 878,320 | 100.00% | |
| 合计 | 878,320 | 100.00% | ||
第三党候选人
[编辑]自由意志党大会
[编辑]提名人
[编辑]- 约翰·托马斯，教育家[80]
大会上被淘汰
[编辑]- 埃里克·格哈特，木匠，2022年联邦参议员选举提名人，2020年总统候选人[81]
绿党
[编辑]提名人
[编辑]- 利拉·哈祖，店主[82]
宪法党
[编辑]提名人
[编辑]- 伯纳德·塞尔克，卡车司机[82]
美国团结党
[编辑]取消资格
[编辑]- 埃里克·梅西纳[83]
决选
[编辑]预测
[编辑]| 來源 | 評級 | 日期 |
|---|---|---|
| 库克政治报告[84] | 摇摆不定 | 2024年10月21日 |
| 選舉內部[85] | 倾向D | 2023年11月9日 |
| 薩巴託的水晶球[86] | 偏向D | 2024年6月13日 |
| DDHQ/国会山报[87] | 偏向D | 2024年6月8日 |
| 选举日报[88] | 偏向D | 2024年10月24日 |
| CNalysis[89] | 偏向D | 2023年11月21日 |
| 真清晰政治[90] | 摇摆不定 | 2024年8月5日 |
| 分裂投票[91] | 偏向D | 2024年10月23日 |
| 538[92] | 偏向D | 2024年10月28日 |
初选后各方背书
[编辑]小鲍勃·凯西（D）
戴维·麦考密克（R）
筹款状况
[编辑]| 截至2024年10月16日竞选财务报告 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 候选人 | 筹款数 | 花销 | 手头资金 |
| 小鲍勃·凯西（D） | $52,879,737 | $50,545,793 | $2,821,961 |
| 戴维·麦考密克（R） | $27,698,652[b] | $26,030,736 | $1,675,736 |
| 来源：联邦选举委员会[49] | |||
辩论
[编辑]| 编号 | 日期 | 主办方 | 主持人 | 链接 | 民主党 | 共和党 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P 参加 A 缺席 N 未受邀 I 受邀 W 退出 | ||||||
| 凯西 | 麦考密克 | |||||
| 1 | 2024年10月3日 | WHTM-TV | 丹尼斯·欧文斯 | YouTube | P | P |
| 2 | 2024年10月15日 | WPVI-TV | 马特·奥唐纳、莎莉·威廉姆斯以及伊利亚·加西亚 | C-SPAN | P | P |
民调
[编辑]- 民意调查汇总
| 民意调查汇总来源 | 调查日期 | 更新日期 | 小鲍勃·凯西（D） | 戴维·麦考密克（R） | 未决定 [c] |
误差 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FiveThirtyEight | 截至2024年11月4日 | 2024年11月4日 | 48.2% | 45.4% | 6.4% | 凯西+2.8% |
| RealClearPolitics | 2024年10月21日至11月4日 | 2024年11月4日 | 48.1% | 46.3% | 5.6% | 凯西+1.8% |
| 270toWin | 2024年10月24日至11月4日 | 2024年11月4日 | 48.4% | 45.9% | 5.7% | 凯西+2.5% |
| TheHill/DDHQ | 截至2024年11月4日 | 2024年11月4日 | 48.6% | 46.6% | 4.8% | 凯西+2.0% |
| 平均 | 48.3% | 46.1% | 5.6% | 凯西+2.2% | ||
| 民调来源 | 调查 日期 |
样本 大小[a] |
误差 幅度 |
小鲍勃·凯西（D） | 戴维·麦考密克（R） | 其他 | 未决定 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlasIntel | 2024年11月3日至4日 | 1,840 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 49% | 47% | 2% | 2% |
| Survation | 2024年11月1日至4日 | 929 (LV) | – | 49% | 42% | 3%[d] | 6% |
| Research Co. | 2024年11月2日至3日 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 48% | 46% | 2%[e] | 4% |
| Patriot Polling (R) | 2024年11月1日至3日 | 903 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 49% | – | – |
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | 2024年11月1日至3日 | 1,089 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 46% | 47% | – | 7% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R) | 2024年11月1日至2日 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 47% | 2% | 3% |
| AtlasIntel | 2024年11月1日至2日 | 2,049 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 49% | 47% | 3%[f] | 2% |
| Emerson College[A] | 2024年10月30日至11月2日 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 47% | – | 6% |
| NYT/Siena College[B] | 2024年10月29日至11月2日 | 1,527 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 50% | 45% | – | 4% |
| 1,527 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 50% | 45% | – | 6% | ||
| Mainstreet Research/FAU | 2024年10月25日至11月2日 | 699 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 49% | 44% | 1%[g] | 6% |
| 726 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 43% | 2%[h] | 7% | ||
| Morning Consult | 2024年10月23日至11月1日 | 1,538 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 43% | – | 11% |
| OnMessage (R) | 2024年10月29日至31日 | 800 (LV) | – | 46% | 46% | – | 8% |
| Data for Progress (D) | 2024年10月25日至31日 | 908 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 45% | 2%[i] | 4% |
| YouGov[C] | 2024年10月25日至31日 | 947 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 44% | – | 6% |
| 982 (RV) | 50% | 43% | – | 6% | |||
| ActiVote | 2024年10月14日至31日 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 50.5% | 49.5% | – | – |
| Muhlenberg College[D] | 2024年10月27日至30日 | 460 (LV) | ± 6.0% | 49% | 46% | 3% | 1% |
| Suffolk University[E] | 2024年10月27日至30日 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 46% | 2%[i] | 2% |
| Marist College | October 27–30, 2024 | 1,400 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 50% | 48% | 1%[j] | 1% |
| 1,558 (RV) | ± 3.2% | 50% | 48% | 1%[j] | 1% | ||
| Echelon Insights | October 27–30, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 44% | 47% | 3%[k] | 5% |
| AtlasIntel | October 27–30, 2024 | 1,738 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 49% | 46% | 3%[f] | 2% |
| The Washington Post | October 26–30, 2024 | 1,204 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 46% | 2%[l] | 3% |
| 1,204 (RV) | 49% | 45% | 3%[m] | 3% | |||
| AtlasIntel | 2024年10月25日至29日 | 1,229 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 47% | 3%[f] | 2% |
| Fox News | October 24–28, 2024 | 1,057 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 48% | – | 1% |
| 1,310 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 51% | 46% | 1% | 2% | ||
| Quinnipiac University | October 24–28, 2024 | 2,186 (LV) | ± 2.1% | 50% | 47% | 2%[n] | 1% |
| Monmouth University | October 24–28, 2024 | 824 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 45% | 44% | – | 12% |
| CNN/SSRS | October 23–28, 2024 | 819 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 48% | 45% | 6%[o] | 1% |
| CBS News/YouGov | October 22–28, 2024 | 1,249 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 42% | 3%[p] | 7% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R) | October 26–27, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 47% | 2%[q] | 4% |
| North Star Opinion Research (R)[F] | October 22–26, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 42% | 5%[r] | 9% |
| UMass Lowell/YouGov | October 16–23, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 42% | 3%[s] | 7% |
| Emerson College[G] | October 21–22, 2024 | 860 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 47% | 46% | 2%[t] | 6% |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) | October 18–22, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 49% | 46% | 2%[u] | 4% |
| Franklin & Marshall College | October 9–20, 2024 | 583 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 49% | 48% | – | 3% |
| 794 (RV) | ± 4.3% | 48% | 41% | 5%[v] | 6% | ||
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | October 17–19, 2024 | 1,084 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 47% | – | 6% |
| AtlasIntel | October 12–17, 2024 | 2,048 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 47% | 48% | 2%[w] | 3% |
| The Bullfinch Group | October 11–17, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 43% | – | 8% |
| YouGov[H] | October 7–17, 2024 | 1,043 (LV) | ± 3.44% | 50% | 42% | – | 8% |
| 1,062 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 49% | 42% | – | 9% | ||
| Morning Consult | October 6–15, 2024 | 1,395 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 41% | – | 10% |
| NYT/Siena College[B] | October 7–10, 2024 | 857 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 44% | – | 8% |
| 857 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 43% | – | 9% | ||
| American Pulse Research & Polling | October 2–10, 2024 | 1,193 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 48% | 45% | 2%[x] | 5% |
| TIPP Insights (R)[F] | October 7–9, 2024 | 803 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 43% | 1%[y] | 9% |
| 1,079 (RV) | 48% | 40% | 1%[z] | 12% | |||
| UMass Lowell/YouGov | October 2–9, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 39% | 3%[aa] | 10% |
| InsiderAdvantage (R) | October 7–8, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 45% | 2%[q] | 6% |
| Emerson College[A] | October 5–8, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 46% | – | 6% |
| Research Co. | October 5–7, 2024 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 47% | 44% | 1%[ab] | 8% |
| Quinnipiac University | October 3–7, 2024 | 1,412 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 51% | 43% | 2%[ac] | 5% |
| ActiVote | September 6 – October 7, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 53% | 47% | – | – |
| OnMessage Inc. (R)[ad] | September 28–29, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 44% | 5%[ae] | 7% |
| Patriot Polling (R) | September 27–29, 2024 | 816 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | 48% | – | – |
| The Bullfinch Group[I] | September 26–29, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.46% | 48% | 39% | 12%[af] | – |
| 52% | 42% | 6%[ag] | – | ||||
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | September 26–29, 2024 | 1,090 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | 46% | – | 7% |
| Emerson College[G] | September 27–28, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 45% | – | 8% |
| AtlasIntel | September 20–25, 2024 | 1,775 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 47% | 45% | 1%[ah] | 6% |
| BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[J] | September 19–25, 2024 | 474 (LV) | – | 48% | 42% | 3%[ai] | 6% |
| 52% | 45% | – | 3% | ||||
| Fox News | September 20–24, 2024 | 775 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 53% | 44% | 1%[aj] | 2% |
| 1,021 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 53% | 44% | 1%[aj] | 2% | ||
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/ Impact Research (D)[K] |
September 17–24, 2024 | 816 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 45% | – | 6% |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) | September 16–22, 2024 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 48% | 40% | 1%[ak] | 11% |
| RMG Research[L] | September 18–20, 2024 | 783 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 50% | 44% | 1%[aj] | 5% |
| Remington Research Group (R)[M] | September 16–20, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 45% | – | 7% |
| Muhlenberg College[D] | September 16–19, 2024 | 450 (LV) | ± 6.0% | 48% | 43% | 5% | 4% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[N] | September 16–19, 2024 | 1,086 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 47% | 41% | 2%[al] | 10% |
| UMass Lowell/YouGov | September 11–19, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 38% | 3%[aa] | 13% |
| Emerson College[A] | September 15–18, 2024 | 880 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 47% | 42% | – | 11% |
| MassINC Polling Group[O] | September 12–18, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 42% | 2%[am] | 6% |
| Morning Consult | September 9–18, 2024 | 1,756 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 40% | – | 11% |
| Marist College | September 12–17, 2024 | 1,663 (RV) | ± 2.0% | 52% | 46% | 1%[j] | 1% |
| 1,476 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 52% | 47% | – | 1% | ||
| Quinnipiac University | September 12–16, 2024 | 1,331 (LV) | ± 2.7% | 52% | 43% | 1%[an] | 3% |
| The Washington Post | September 12–16, 2024 | 1,003 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 47% | 46% | 7%[ao] | – |
| 48% | 48% | 5%[ap] | – | ||||
| NYT/Siena College[B] | September 11–16, 2024 | 1,082 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 48% | 39% | – | 13% |
| 1,082 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 49% | 40% | – | 11% | ||
| InsiderAdvantage (R) | September 14–15, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 49% | 44% | 2%[q] | 5% |
| Franklin & Marshall College | September 4–15, 2024 | 890 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 48% | 40% | 3%[aq] | 10% |
| Suffolk University[E] | September 11–14, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 43% | 2%[ar] | 8% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[N] | September 6–9, 2024 | 801 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 36% | 5%[as] | 14% |
| Morning Consult | August 30 – September 8, 2024 | 1,910 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 49% | 40% | – | 11% |
| co/efficient | September 4–6, 2024 | 889 (LV) | ± 3.29% | 45% | 36% | – | 19% |
| CBS News/YouGov | September 3–6, 2024 | 1,076 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 48% | 41% | 3%[at] | 8% |
| YouGov[C] | August 23 – September 3, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 52% | 41% | – | 8% |
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | August 28–30, 2024 | 1,082 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 46% | 45% | – | 8% |
| CNN/SRSS | August 23–29, 2024 | 789 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 46% | 46% | 7%[au] | 1% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[N] | August 25–28, 2024 | 1,071 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 44% | 38% | 4%[av] | 14% |
| Emerson College[A] | August 25–28, 2024 | 950 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 44% | – | 8% |
| SoCal Strategies (R)[P] | August 23, 2024 | 713 (LV) | – | 47% | 41% | – | 12% |
| 800 (RV) | – | 45% | 40% | – | 15% | ||
| ActiVote | August 3-23, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 55% | 45% | – | – |
| Fabrizio Ward[Q] | August 19–21, 2024 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 46% | 43% | – | 11% |
| Cygnal (R) | August 14–15, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 46% | 42% | – | 12% |
| 42% | 38% | 7%[aw] | 13% | ||||
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[N] | August 12–15, 2024 | 825 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 44% | 36% | 1%[ax] | 17% |
| Emerson College | August 13–14, 2024 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 44% | – | 8% |
| Quinnipiac University | August 8–12, 2024 | 1,738 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 52% | 44% | 1%[ay] | 3% |
| The Bullfinch Group[R] | August 8–11, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.38% | 51% | 39% | – | 10% |
| Franklin & Marshall College | July 21 – August 11, 2024 | 920 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 48% | 36% | 3%[az] | 13% |
| NYT/Siena College | August 6–9, 2024 | 693 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 50% | 36% | – | 14% |
| 693 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 51% | 37% | – | 11% | ||
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[N] | July 31 – August 3, 2024 | 743 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 45% | 40% | 2%[ba] | 12% |
| BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[J] | July 26 – August 2, 2024 | 411 (LV) | – | 53% | 40% | – | 7% |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) | July 22–28, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 47% | 42% | – | 11% |
| Fox News | July 22–24, 2024 | 1,034 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 55% | 42% | – | 1% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[N] | July 22–24, 2024 | 851 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 46% | 39% | 4%[bb] | 11% |
| Emerson College[S] | July 22–23, 2024 | 850 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 48% | 44% | – | 8% |
| SoCal Research (R)[T] | July 20–21, 2024 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 50% | 40% | – | 10% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[U] | July 17–18, 2024 | 624 (RV) | ± 3.8% | 50% | 39% | – | 11% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies[N] | July 16–18, 2024 | 688 (LV) | – | 44% | 37% | 3%[bc] | 15% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)[V] | July 11–12, 2024 | 537 (RV) | – | 47% | 44% | – | 9% |
| YouGov[C] | July 4–12, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 50% | 38% | 1% | 11% |
| 889 (LV) | – | 51% | 39% | 1% | 9% | ||
| NYT/Siena College | July 9–11, 2024 | 872 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 50% | 39% | – | 10% |
| 872 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 50% | 42% | – | 8% | ||
| Expedition Strategies[W] | June 24 – July 8, 2024 | 284 (LV) | – | 48% | 45% | – | 7% |
| Remington Research Group (R)[M] | June 29 – July 1, 2024 | 673 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 48% | – | 4% |
| Cygnal (R) | June 27–28, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 42% | – | 12% |
| The Bullfinch Group[X] | June 14–19, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 48% | 36% | – | 16% |
| Emerson College[A] | June 13–18, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 41% | – | 12% |
| Marist College | June 3–6, 2024 | 1,181 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 52% | 46% | – | 2% |
| Mainstreet Research/FAU | May 30–31, 2024 | 1,012 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 48% | 40% | 5% | 7% |
| 923 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 49% | 42% | 3% | 6% | ||
| KAConsulting (R)[Y] | May 15–19, 2024 | 600 (RV) | – | 47% | 37% | 4%[bd] | 12% |
| BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[J] | May 6–13, 2024 | 730 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 49% | 41% | – | 10% |
| NYT/Siena College[B] | April 28 – May 9, 2024 | 1,023 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 41% | – | 13% |
| 1,023 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 46% | 44% | – | 10% | ||
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/ Impact Research (D)[K] |
April 24–30, 2024 | 1,398 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 44% | – | 8% |
| Emerson College[A] | April 25–29, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 42% | – | 12% |
| CBS News/YouGov | April 19–25, 2024 | 1,306 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 46% | 39% | – | 15% |
| Muhlenberg College | April 15–25, 2024 | 417 (RV) | ± 6.0% | 45% | 41% | 5% | 9% |
| The Bullfinch Group[R] | March 29 – April 3, 2024 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 38% | 9% | 8% |
| National Public Affairs | March 2024 | 759 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 32% | 28% | – | 40% |
| Franklin & Marshall College | March 20–31, 2024 | 431 (RV) | ± 5.7% | 46% | 39% | – | 15% |
| The Bullfinch Group[X] | March 22–26, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 30% | 8% | 15% |
| Emerson College | March 10–13, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 52% | 48% | – | – |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) | February 27 – March 7, 2024 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 48% | 42% | – | 10% |
| Emerson College | February 14–16, 2024 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 39% | – | 13% |
| Chism Strategies | February 6–8, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 5.0% | 38% | 37% | – | 25% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R)[Z] | January 22–25, 2024 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 40% | – | 12% |
| Franklin & Marshall College | January 17–28, 2023 | 1,006 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 47% | 35% | 4% | 14% |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) | January 15–21, 2024 | 745 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 46% | 42% | 3% | 9% |
| Quinnipiac University | January 4–8, 2024 | 1,680 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 53% | 43% | 1%[aj] | 2% |
| Common Ground (R)[X] | December 8–12, 2023 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 42% | 27% | 13%[be] | 20% |
| Change Research (D)[AA] | December 3–7, 2023 | 2,532 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 41% | 0% | 15% |
| Franklin & Marshall College | October 11–22, 2023 | 873 (RV) | ± 4.1% | 46% | 39% | 4% | 12% |
| Emerson College | October 1–4, 2023 | 430 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 41% | 33% | 8% | 18% |
| Quinnipiac University | September 28 – October 2, 2023 | 1,725 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 50% | 44% | 2%[bf] | 4% |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) | May 2–8, 2023 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 53% | 41% | 1% | 5% |
| Cygnal (R) | April 12–13, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 46% | 41% | 0% | 13% |
| Franklin & Marshall College | March 27 – April 7, 2023 | 643 (RV) | ± 6.6% | 42% | 35% | – | 23% |
假定狀況下的民調
- 小鲍勃·凯西 vs 道格·马斯特里亚诺
| 民调来源 | 调查 日期 |
样本 大小[a] |
误差 幅度 |
小鲍勃·凯西（D） | 道格·马斯特里亚诺（R） | 未决定 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franklin & Marshall College | March 27 – April 7, 2023 | 643 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 47% | 31% | 22% |
| Cygnal (R) | April 12–13, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | 39% | 12% |
选举结果
[编辑]| 党派 | 候选人 | 得票数 | 百分比 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 共和党 | 戴维·麦考密克 | 3,399,295 | 48.82% | ||
| 民主党 | 小鲍勃·凯西（现任） | 3,384,180 | 48.60% | ||
| 自由党 | 约翰·托马斯 | 89,653 | 1.29% | ||
| 绿党 | 利拉·哈祖 | 66,388 | 0.95% | ||
| 宪法党 | 伯纳德·塞尔克 | 23,621 | 0.34% | ||
| 总票数 | 6,963,137 | 100.0% | |||
參見
[编辑]注释
[编辑]- ^ 1.0 1.1 1.2 示例：
A – 全部成人
RV – 登記選民
LV – 可能的選民
V – 不清楚 - ^ 其中麦考密克自筹资金4,263,800美元
- ^ 计算方法为取100%与其他所有候选人的成绩之差。
- ^ 托马斯（L）和哈祖（G）各占1%； 1%选“拒绝”
- ^ “其他候选人”占2%
- ^ 6.0 6.1 6.2 "Other" with 2%; "Blank/Null/Won't vote" with 1%
- ^ “另一位候选人”占1%
- ^ “另一位候选人”占2%
- ^ 9.0 9.1 Thomas (L) and Hazou (G) with 1%
- ^ 10.0 10.1 10.2 "Another party's candidate" with 1%
- ^ 哈祖（G）2%； 托马斯（L）1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 1%; "Would not vote" with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 1%; "Would not vote" with 2%
- ^ "Refused" with 2%
- ^ "Other" with 4%; "Neither" with 2%
- ^ "Someone else" with 3%
- ^ 17.0 17.1 17.2 "Other" with 2%
- ^ Thomas (L) with 2%; Hazou (G) and Selker (C) with 1%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ Thomas with 2%; "Another candidate" with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 2%
- ^ "Refuse" with 2%
- ^ "Other" (Thomas (L), Hazou (G) & Selker (C)) with 5%
- ^ "Blank/Null/Won't vote" with 1%; "Other" with 1%
- ^ "Another candidate" with 2%
- ^ "Other" with 1%
- ^ "Other" with 1%
- ^ 27.0 27.1 Hazou (G) and Thomas (L) with 1%; "Another candidate" with 1%
- ^ "Some other candidate" with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 1%; "Refused" with 1%
- ^ Poll sponsored by Sentinel Action Fund
- ^ "Other" with 5%
- ^ "None of the Above" with 9%; "Other" with 3%
- ^ Thomas (L) with 3%, Hazou (G) with 2%, and Selker (C) with 1%
- ^ "Blank/Null/Won't vote" with 1%; "Other" with <1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 1%; "Would not vote" with 2%
- ^ 36.0 36.1 36.2 36.3 "Wouldn't vote" with 1%
- ^ "Other" with 1%
- ^ Thomas (L), "Wouldn't vote if these are the candidates" with 1%
- ^ "Another candidate" and "Would not vote for senate" each with 1%; "Prefer not to say" with <1%
- ^ "Refused" with 1%
- ^ "No opinion/Skipped" with 4%; Thomas (L), Hazou (G), and "Would not vote" each with 1%
- ^ "No opinion/Skipped" with 3%; "Would not vote" each with 2%
- ^ "Other" with 3%
- ^ Thomas (L) with 1%; Selker (C) with 1%; Hazou (G) with <1%
- ^ "Won't vote if these are the candidates" with 4%; Thomas (L) with 1%
- ^ "Someone else" with 3%
- ^ "Other" with 4%; "Neither" with 3%
- ^ Thomas (L) with 1%; Hazou (G) with 1%; "Other" with 1%; "Won't vote if these are the candidates" with 1%
- ^ Thomas (L) with 3%; Hazou (G) with 2%; Messina (AS) and Selker (C) with 1%
- ^ Leila Hazou (G) with 1%, John Thomas (L), "Other (Another Third Party/Write-In)", and Marty Selker (C) with 0%
- ^ "Refused" with 1%
- ^ "Some other candidate" with 3%
- ^ John Thomas (L) and "Other (Another Third Party/Write-In)" with 1%; Leila Hazou (G) and Marty Selker (C) with 0%
- ^ John Thomas (L) with 2%; Leila Hazou (G) with 1%; Marty Selker (C) with 0%; "Other (Another Third Party/Write-In)" with 1%
- ^ Leila Hazou (G), John Thomas (L), and Marty Selker (C) with 1%
- ^ "Would not vote" with 3%; "Someone else" with 1%
- ^ "None of the above" with 8%; "Other" with 5%
- ^ "Someone else" & "Wouldn't vote" with 1%
- 党派
- ^ 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 Poll sponsored by The Hill
- ^ 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.3 Poll sponsored by The Philadelphia Inquirer
- ^ 3.0 3.1 3.2 Poll conducted for The Times, Stanford University, Arizona State University, and Yale University
- ^ 4.0 4.1 Poll sponsored by The Morning Call
- ^ 5.0 5.1 Poll sponsored by USA Today
- ^ 6.0 6.1 Poll sponsored by American Greatness
- ^ 7.0 7.1 Poll sponsored by RealClearPennsylvania
- ^ Poll sponsored by Rose Institute of State and Local Government
- ^ Poll sponsored by the Commonwealth Foundation
- ^ 10.0 10.1 10.2 Poll sponsored by The Cook Political Report
- ^ 11.0 11.1 Poll commissioned by AARP
- ^ Poll sponsored by the Napolitan Institute
- ^ 13.0 13.1 Poll sponsored by American Fuel & Petrochemical Manufacturers, a group that supports Republicans.
- ^ 14.0 14.1 14.2 14.3 14.4 14.5 14.6 Poll sponsored by The Daily Telegraph
- ^ Poll sponsored by Spotlight PA
- ^ Poll sponsored by On Point Politics and Red Eagle Politics, the latter of which supports the Republican Party.
- ^ Poll sponsored by the Pinpoint Policy Institute
- ^ 18.0 18.1 Poll sponsored by the Independent Center
- ^ Poll sponsored by The Hill and Nexstar
- ^ Poll sponsored by On Point Politics
- ^ Poll sponsored by Clean and Prosperous America PAC, a group that supports Democrats.
- ^ Poll sponsored by the Progress Action Fund, which is a sponsor of the Democratic Party.
- ^ Poll Sponsored by Progressive Policy Institute
- ^ 24.0 24.1 24.2 Poll sponsored by the Commonwealth Foundation, a conservative think tank
- ^ Poll conducted for Vapor Technology Association
- ^ Poll sponsored by McCormick's campaign
- ^ Poll sponsored by Future Majority, a partisan sponsor for the Democratic Party.
参考文献
[编辑]- ^ Pennsylvania Sen. Bob Casey will run for reelection, boosting Democrats' Senate outlook for 2024 | CNN Politics. CNN. 2023-04-10 [2024-11-08]. （原始内容存档于2023-04-10）.
- ^ 2024 State Primary Election Dates. www.ncsl.org. [2023-05-13]. （原始内容存档于2023-08-17）.
- ^ The 10 Senate seats most likely to flip in 2024. CNN. 2024-07-20.
- ^ Pennsylvania 2020 presidential election results. CNN. [2023-03-19]. （原始内容存档于2024-10-08） （英语）.
- ^ Pennsylvania Governor Midterm Election Results and Maps 2022 | CNN Politics. CNN. [2023-03-19]. （原始内容存档于2024-10-07） （英语）.
- ^ Narea, Nicole. Democrats in Pennsylvania just won the 2022 midterms. Again.. Vox. 2023-02-08 [2023-03-19]. （原始内容存档于2023-09-29） （英语）.
- ^ United States Senate election in Pennsylvania, 2016. Ballotpedia. [2023-03-19] （英语）.
- ^ A 501tax-exempt; Street, charitable organization 1100 13th; NW; Washington, Suite 800; Dc 20005857-0044. Pennsylvania Senate 2006 Race. OpenSecrets. [2023-03-19]. （原始内容存档于2023-09-27） （英语）.
- ^ Pennsylvania. The New York Times. [2023-03-19]. ISSN 0362-4331. （原始内容存档于2024-10-09） （美国英语）.
- ^ Pennsylvania Senate Election Results 2018: Live Midterm Map by County & Analysis. www.politico.com. 2018-11-07 [2023-03-19]. （原始内容存档于2024-09-11） （英语）.
- ^ Hudson, Lee. Bob Casey running for Senate reelection. Politico. 2023-04-10 [2023-04-19]. （原始内容存档于2023-06-30） （英语）.
- ^ Wright, David. Pennsylvania Sen. Bob Casey will run for reelection, boosting Democrats' Senate outlook for 2024. CNN. 2023-04-10 [2023-04-10]. （原始内容存档于2023-04-10） （英语）.
- ^ The Associated Press. Two more candidates file papers to run for U.S. Senate in Pennsylvania. WTAE-TV. 2024-02-22 [2024-02-23]. （原始内容存档于2024-03-01）.
- ^ Cole, John. Pennsylvania GOP U.S. Senate candidate McCormick endorses Trump for president. Pennsylvania-Capital Star. 2024-03-06 [2024-03-07].
Casey will be the only Democrat on the primary ballot for U.S. Senate after a successful objection against William Parker’s nomination petitions removed him from the ballot.
- ^ 15.0 15.1 15.2 15.3 Lyons, Kim. Casey campaign gets a boost from Pennsylvania veterans' coalition. Pennsylvania Capital-Star. 2023-07-26 [2023-08-02] （美国英语）.
- ^ 16.0 16.1 16.2 Kail, Benjamin. Sen. Bob Casey is starting his 2024 Senate campaign with a big head start. Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. 2023-04-30 [2023-05-01] （美国英语）.
- ^ Mark Kelly isn't on the 2024 ballot. He's traveling the country for Dems anyway. Politico. 2024-01-30.
- ^ Staff, A. O. L. Whitmer's Fight Like Hell PAC releases initial Senate endorsements. www.aol.com. 2024-05-17 [2024-06-14] （美国英语）.
- ^ Kurtz, Josh. Dunn's new PAC backs 10 Democratic Senate candidates, including Alsobrooks. Maryland Matters (Maryland Matters). 2024-07-10 [2024-07-11].
- ^ 20.0 20.1 NextGen PAC Endorses Senator Bob Casey Ahead of 2024 Elections. NextGen America PAC. 2023-05-10 [2023-05-10] （美国英语）.
- ^ Prose, J. D. Pa. Democrats make 2024 endorsements, but attorney general's race remains open. The Patriot-News. 2023-12-16 [2023-12-16]. （原始内容存档于2023-12-17）.
- ^ Support Pro-Israel Candidates. AIPAC PAC. [2023-11-21]. （原始内容存档于2023-08-27）.
- ^ CASA in Action Announces 2024 General Election Endorsements for Pennsylvania Races. CASA in Action (新闻稿). 2024-08-20 [2024-09-01]. （原始内容存档于2024-09-01）.
- ^ Senate Candidates. Council for a Livable World. [2024-01-26]. （原始内容存档于2023-09-06） （美国英语）.
- ^ Fernandez, Madison. Pro-Israel group boosts Democrats in battleground races. Politico. 2024-05-20 [2024-05-20].
- ^ End Citizens United // Let America Vote Endorses Senator Bob Casey for Reelection. End Citizens United | We the People, Not "We the Wealthy". 2023-06-26 [2023-06-26] （美国英语）.
- ^ 2024 – Feminist Majority PAC. feministmajoritypac.org. [2024-02-09]. （原始内容存档于2023-04-11）.
- ^ GIFFORDS PAC Endorses Bob Casey for Reelection to the US Senate. Giffords. 2023-11-14 [2023-10-15]. （原始内容存档于2023-11-16） （美国英语）.
- ^ Presenting the official Spring 2024 Harvard Dems Endorsement Results! Congratulations to all who were endorsed! 🫶🏻✨. www.instagram.com. [2024-02-08]. （原始内容存档于2024-04-10）.
- ^ Human Rights Campaign Endorses Pennsylvania Sen. Bob Casey for Reelection. Human Rights Campaign. 2024-08-14 [2024-08-14].
- ^ 2024 Endorsements. 2024 Endorsements. [2024-02-16]. （原始内容存档于2024-01-21） （英语）.
- ^ JDCA Announces First Round of 2024 Senate Endorsements. Jewish Democratic Council of America. [2023-08-25] （美国英语）.
- ^ Meet JAC's 2024 Candidates | Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs. jacpac.org. [2023-09-01]. （原始内容存档于2023-09-01）.
- ^ LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of Congressional Endorsements. League of Conservation Voters. [2023-07-27]. （原始内容存档于2023-07-27） （美国英语）.
- ^ National Social Security Advocacy Group Endorses Senator Bob Casey for Re-Election. National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare (新闻稿). 2024-04-12 [2024-04-12].
- ^ Dison, Denis. NRDC Action Fund Endorses 51 House, Senate Incumbents. NRDC Action Fund. 2023-09-20 [2023-09-20]. （原始内容存档于2023-09-20） （美国英语）.
- ^ Meet Our 2024 Candidates. Peace Action. [2023-08-24]. （原始内容存档于2023-07-14） （en-EN）.
- ^ PSEA recommends U.S. Sen. Bob Casey for reelection. Pennsylvania State Education Association. 2024-01-18 [2024-04-03].
- ^ People For Endorses Seven New and Incumbent Senate Candidates in "Defend the Senate" Campaign. People for the American Way (新闻稿). 2024-07-29 [2024-07-29].
- ^ Make a high-impact donation—without all the usual drama.. Swing Left.
- ^ Actors' Equity Association Endorses Bob Casey for United States Senate. www.actorsequity.org. Actors' Equity Association. 2024-08-08 [2024-09-11]. （原始内容存档于2024-09-11）.
- ^ Kauffman, William. PRESS RELEASE: AFSCME Council 13 members unanimously endorse Senator Bob Casey. Council 13 AFSCME. 2024-03-14 [2024-04-03].
- ^ AFA Endorsed Candidates for 2024 Election. Association of Flight Attendants-CWA. [2024-04-29]. （原始内容存档于2024-02-23） （英语）.
- ^ Our Recommended Candidates. Education Votes. [2023-11-20]. （原始内容存档于2022-12-04） （美国英语）.
- ^ Lyons, Kim. Casey picks up PA AFL-CIO endorsement. Pennsylvania Capital-Star. [2023-12-14] （美国英语）.
- ^ United Mine Workers endorses Casey for re-election in Pennsylvania. UMWA. [2023-09-30]. （原始内容存档于2023-09-30）.
- ^ USW Endorses Bob Casey for Reelection to U.S. Senate. United Steelworkers. 2023-09-20 [2023-09-20]. （原始内容存档于2023-09-20） （英语）.
- ^ Staff, P. G. N. PGN Editorial Endorsements: Primary 2024. Philadelphia Gay News. 2024-04-10 [2024-04-24] （美国英语）.
- ^ 49.0 49.1 49.2 2024 Election United States Senate - Pennsylvania. fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. [2024-07-19]. （原始内容存档于2024-07-18）.
- ^ 50.0 50.1 2024 Presidential Primary Official Results - United States Senator. Pennsylvania Department of State. [2024-05-04]. （原始内容存档于2024-09-17）.
- ^ Steinhauser, Paul. Republican Dave McCormick launches bid for vulnerable Senate seat in battleground state. Fox News. 2023-09-21 [2023-09-21]. （原始内容存档于2023-09-21）.
- ^ Cole, John. Three candidates for Pennsylvania's U.S. Senate seat remain on ballot following petition challenges. Pennsylvania Capital-Star. 2024-03-08 [2024-03-09]. （原始内容存档于2024-03-09）.
- ^ Cole, John. Casey vs McCormick general election matchup appears set after petition challenges. Pennsylvania-Capital Star. 2024-03-11 [2024-03-12]. （原始内容存档于2024-03-12）.
- ^ Lippman, Daniel; Otterbein, Holly. MAGA favorite Kathy Barnette says she won't run again for Senate. POLITICO. 2023-03-15 [2023-03-16]. （原始内容存档于2023-03-15） （英语）.
- ^ A well-liked incumbent stands in the way of Republicans retaking the Pennsylvania Senate seat. 2023-05-25.
- ^ Cruz, Abby; McDuffie, Will. Republican who narrowly lost to Dr. Oz expected to run again for Senate. ABC News. 2023-09-15 [2023-09-23]. （原始内容存档于2023-09-23）.
- ^ Weaver, Al. Doug Mastriano decides against launching Senate bid. The Hill. 2023-05-25.
- ^ 58.0 58.1 Smith, Allan; Bowman, Bridget. Republican Dave McCormick jumps into the critical Pennsylvania Senate race. NBC News. 2023-09-21 [2023-09-22] （英语）.
- ^ 59.0 59.1 Dave McCormick April 2024 Event in Texas with George W. Bush. Documented. 2024-04-09 [2024-04-09]. （原始内容存档于2024-04-22）.
- ^ LeVine, Marianne. Trump endorses a Pennsylvania U.S. Senate candidate he once condemned. The Washington Post. 2024-04-13 [2024-04-13]. （原始内容存档于2024-04-14）.
- ^ Ambassador John Bolton Endorses Dave McCormick for Senate in Pennsylvania. John Bolton PAC. 2024-04-03 [2024-04-03].
- ^ Siwy, Bruce. Who is David McCormick? Here are 5 things to know about Bob Casey's possible GOP opponent. Erie Times-News. 2023-09-21 [2023-10-01]. （原始内容存档于2023-10-02） （美国英语）.
- ^ 63.00 63.01 63.02 63.03 63.04 63.05 63.06 63.07 63.08 63.09 63.10 Salant, Jonathan D.; Kail, Benjamin. A top conservative group picked a candidate in the GOP primary to take on Chris Deluzio. Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. 2023-09-28 [2023-10-01]. （原始内容存档于2023-10-02） （美国英语）.
- ^ Terruso, Julia. Steak in the race: Dave McCormick visits Geno's with former Sen. Pat Toomey. The Philadelphia Inquirer. 2024-04-03 [2024-04-17]. （原始内容存档于2024-04-07） （美国英语）.
- ^ Kalinowski, Bob. McCormick, allies blast Casey during Back Mountain campaign stop. The Citizens' Voice. 2024-04-04 [2024-04-17]. （原始内容存档于2024-04-06） （美国英语）.
- ^ Newhouse, Savannah. Senator Marsha Blackburn Endorses Dave McCormick for Senate. LegiStorm. 2023-09-27 [2023-10-01] （美国英语）.
- ^ Mutnick, Ally. This GOP hopeful got on Trump's bad side last year. Now he might decide control of the Senate.. Politico. 2023-09-21 [2023-09-22]. （原始内容存档于2023-09-22） （英语）.
- ^ Tamari, Jonathan. McCormick's Second Senate Try Hinges on Fitting a Changed GOP. Bloomberg Government. 2023-05-24 [2023-10-01]. （原始内容存档于2023-10-26）.
- ^ Eberwein, Richard. David McCormick's campaign won't say if he would support Duckworth's bill to protect IVF. Heartland Signal. 2024-03-07 [2024-04-03]. （原始内容存档于2024-04-03）.
- ^ White, Jaxon. State Sen. Ryan Aument would endorse Dave McCormick's U.S. Senate run. LNP Lancaster Online. 2023-09-21 [2023-10-01] （美国英语）.
- ^ Levy, Marc. Trump blowback could carry less bite in 2024 for some in GOP. Associated Press. 2022-12-08 [2023-01-19]. （原始内容存档于2023-01-29） （英语）.
- ^ Seidel, Emily. Americans for Prosperity Action Announces First Wave of Endorsements in 2024 U.S. Senate Races. AFP Action. 2023-07-19 [2023-07-19]. （原始内容存档于2024-02-24） （美国英语）.
- ^ 73.0 73.1 CPAC Endorses David McCormick for U.S. Senate in Pennsylvania. CPAC. [2024-11-09]. （原始内容存档于2023-10-18）.
- ^ 2024 ENDORSED CANDIDATES. Log Cabin Republicans. [2024-04-03].
- ^ Pennsylvania Federation of College Republicans (@PACRFederation). PAFCR Endorses @DaveMcCormickPA in Crucial Race for United States Senate. Twitter. 2023-10-01 [2023-10-02].
- ^ Penn State College Republicans (@PennStateGOP). Penn State College Republicans Endorse Dave McCormick for United States Senate. Twitter. 2023-10-01 [2023-10-01]. （原始内容存档于2023-10-25） （美国英语）.
- ^ RJC Endorses Pennsylvania US Senate Candidate Dave McCormick. Republican Jewish Coalition. [2024-02-16]. （原始内容存档于2024-02-16） （英语）.
- ^ Mastrull, Diane. David McCormick secures Pa. GOP endorsement in his Senate run. The Philadelphia Inquirer. 2023-09-30 [2023-09-30] （英语）.
- ^ 79.0 79.1 79.2 Lai, Stephanie. Ken Griffin, Charles Schwab to Host Fundraiser for David McCormick's Senate Bid. Bloomberg. 2023-12-14 [2024-04-17] （美国英语）.
- ^ Deemer, Jacob. Armstrong County Man Launches U.S. Senate Campaign. exploreClarion. 2024-04-11 [2024-04-14]. （原始内容存档于2024-04-12）.
- ^ Nominations for Statewide Offices. Libertarian Party of Pennsylvania. 2024-03-02 [2024-04-14].
- ^ 82.0 82.1 Third-party candidates file to run for president, US Senate in Pennsylvania. PennLIVE Patriot-News. The Associated Press. 2024-08-01 [2024-08-02]. （原始内容存档于2024-08-02）.
- ^ PA Voter Services. www.pavoterservices.pa.gov. [2024-08-02]. （原始内容存档于2024-08-02）.
- ^ 2024 Senate Race ratings. Cook Political Report. [2023-01-25]. （原始内容存档于2018-11-30） （英语）.
- ^ Senate Ratings. Inside Elections. 2023-01-06 [2023-01-10]. （原始内容存档于2021-01-20）.
- ^ 2024 Senate. Sabato's Crystal Ball. 2023-01-24 [2023-02-13]. （原始内容存档于2023-01-26）.
- ^ 2024 Senate prediction map. elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. 2024-06-08 [2024-06-08]. （原始内容存档于2024-03-12）.
- ^ Election Ratings. Elections Daily. 2023-08-01 [2023-08-02]. （原始内容存档于2023-11-03） （美国英语）.
- ^ '24 Senate Forecast. CNalysis. [2023-11-21]. （原始内容存档于2024-03-02） （美国英语）.
- ^ Battle for the Senate 2024. RealClearPolitics. [2024-08-05]. （原始内容存档于2024-08-13） （美国英语）.
- ^ 2024 Senate Forecast. Split Ticket. 2023-05-25 [2024-10-23]. （原始内容存档于2024-10-09）.
- ^ 2024 Election Forecast. FiveThirtyEight. 2024-06-11 [2024-10-23]. （原始内容存档于2024-11-03）.
- ^ Fay, Laura. Biden to campaign with Sen. Bob Casey in Philadelphia area Tuesday night. CBS News. 2024-10-08 [2024-11-10]. （原始内容存档于2024-10-09）.
- ^ Remarks by Vice President Harris at a Campaign Event. The White House. 2024-09-14 [2024-10-09]. （原始内容存档于2024-10-08）.
- ^ Colson-Price, Patrick. Former president Obama campaigns for Kamala Harris, Tim Walz, Sen. Bob Casey in Pittsburgh. USA Today. 2024-10-10 [2024-10-15].
- ^ @BenZeisloft. I am an evangelical voter in Pennsylvania. Donald Trump could have had my vote had he not started to support most kinds of abortion and vowed to fund IVF with my tax dollars. I am casting my vote for @DustyDeevers as President and for @BradleyWPierce as Vice President. I know that both men fear the Lord and would establish justice if they were elected. I voted for some Republicans in state and local races, some third-party candidates like @JohnThomasPA who have vowed to protect the preborn, and wrote in qualified Christian men when there were no other options. None of this was necessary. I would have voted for Donald Trump or any other Republican candidate who vowed to protect the preborn and end mass child sacrifice in our nation. If the Republican Party wants evangelical votes, they cannot shirk evangelical policy priorities, and most importantly they cannot shirk their duty to obey and honor the Triune God and govern in their offices with justice and righteousness. I will not reward betrayal with my vote. (推文) –通过Twitter. Missing or empty |date= (help)
- ^ Libertarian US Senate candidate receives crucial endorsement. Leader Times. 2024-10-03 [2024-10-10].
- ^ Suter, Tara. Nikki Haley tells Pennsylvania voters: 'Take the emotion out' of vote. The Hill. 2024-10-31 [2024-11-03] （英语）.
- ^ Mutnick, Ally. John Thune doles out the money as he runs for Senate GOP leader. Politico. 2024-10-15 [2024-10-17] （英语）.
- ^ Phox, Jason. McCormick joins Musk at Pittsburgh-area town hall. Pennsylvania Capital-Star. 2024-10-20 [2024-10-21].
外部链接
[编辑]- 官方竞选网站